Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Sturm Graz to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturm Graz to win ✗65% · @1.90
Double chanceSturm Graz or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.54
WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz preview and prediction
The match
Sturm Graz travel to Tivoli Stadion Tirol in the Bundesliga on Saturday 1 August (16:00 WAT) to face WSG Wattens. WSG Wattens are 7th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Sturm Graz sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
WSG Wattens's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Wieselburg 6–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sturm Graz's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sturm Graz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for WSG Wattens and 2.0 for Sturm Graz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Sturm Graz to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sturm Graz or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: WSG Wattens 0–1 Sturm Graz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
WSG Wattens15%fair 6.63 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.65
Sturm Graz65%fair 1.55 · @1.90
2.84Expected goals
0.84WSG Wattens xG
2.00Sturm Graz xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: WSG Wattens 0.8 – 2.0 Sturm Graz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz to win✗
65%
1.55
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Sturm Graz or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Sturm Graz ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz / FT Sturm Graz✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
WSG Wattens – last 6
WWLDDW
24 Jul
@ Wieselburg
6–0
W
17 Jul
vs Hertha BSC
3–2
W
10 Jul
vs Polessya
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–0
D
21 Apr
@ SCR Altach
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Grazer AK
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sturm Graz – last 6
WWWWWW
28 Jul
@ Heart Of Midlothian
2–0
W
24 Jul
@ Seekirchen
3–0
W
21 Jul
vs Heart Of Midlothian
4–0
W
15 Jul
vs Pogon Szczecin
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5–1
W
8 Jul
vs Kalsdorf
4–1
W
3.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between WSG Wattens and Sturm Graz.
What is the prediction for WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
Our pick is Sturm Graz or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
On our numbers WSG Wattens have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sturm Graz 65%.
How many goals will there be in WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
Our predicted score is WSG Wattens 0–1 Sturm Graz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz?
WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
