Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: Podhale Nowy Targ to win @ 1.98 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultPodhale Nowy Targ to win56% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.22
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik preview and prediction
The match
Podhale Nowy Targ host Avia Świdnik in the II Liga East on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego. Podhale Nowy Targ are 8th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Avia Świdnik sit 12th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Podhale Nowy Targ's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Znicz Pruszków 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Avia Świdnik's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Hutnik Kraków 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Avia Świdnik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Podhale Nowy Targ and 1.1 for Avia Świdnik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Podhale Nowy Targ to win at 1.98 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Avia Świdnik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Podhale Nowy Targ56%fair 1.80 · @1.98
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.48
Avia Świdnik25%fair 3.97 · @3.16
2.89Expected goals
1.78Podhale Nowy Targ xG
1.11Avia Świdnik xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Podhale Nowy Targ 1.8 – 1.1 Avia Świdnik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Podhale Nowy Targ
Avia Świdnik
Attack vs II Liga East average
+8%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.69
1.06
Our own ratings from every II Liga East result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podhale Nowy Targ to win
56%
1.80
1.98 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podhale Nowy Targ / FT Podhale Nowy Targ
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.22
–
Form
Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6
DDLDDD
7 Nov
@ Znicz Pruszków
2–2
D
31 Oct
vs Świt Skolwin
2–2
D
28 Oct
@ Sokół Kleczew
1–2
L
25 Oct
@ Tychy 71
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Lechia Zielona Góra
0–0
D
9 Oct
@ Chojniczanka Chojnice
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avia Świdnik – last 6
WLDLWW
8 Nov
vs Hutnik Kraków
2–1
W
2 Nov
@ Chojniczanka Chojnice
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Znicz Pruszków
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Śląsk Wrocław II
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Świt Skolwin
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Podhale Nowy Targ and Avia Świdnik.
What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
On our numbers Podhale Nowy Targ have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Avia Świdnik 25%.
How many goals will there be in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
Our predicted score is Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Avia Świdnik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Avia Świdnik (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.