II Liga East · Poland · Stadion MZOS ZniczZnicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała prediction & analysis
Znicz Pruszków or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Znicz Pruszków to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Znicz Pruszków 2.0 – 0.9 Rekord Bielsko-Biała expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Znicz Pruszków are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 16% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
Znicz Pruszków have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Rekord Bielsko-Biała have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. Znicz Pruszków come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Znicz Pruszków, 0.9 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Znicz Pruszków or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Znicz Pruszków to win at 1.73 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Znicz Pruszków to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Znicz Pruszków or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Znicz Pruszków ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Znicz Pruszków / FT Znicz Pruszków ✗ | 40% | 2.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.08 | – |
Form
Znicz Pruszków – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Stal Stalowa Wola | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Lechia Zielona Góra | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Tychy 71 | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Hutnik Kraków | 4–2 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Cracovia Krakow | 1–1 | D |
Rekord Bielsko-Biała – last 6
| 9 Oct | vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Podhale Nowy Targ | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Świt Skolwin | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Avia Świdnik | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Legia Warszawa II | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Górnik Łęczna | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Znicz Pruszków and Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
II Liga East table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Znicz Pruszków | 15 | +12 | 33 |
| 2 |  Górnik Łęczna | 15 | +18 | 29 |
| 3 |  Tychy 71 | 14 | +11 | 27 |
| 4 |  Chojniczanka Chojnice | 15 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 6 |  Legia Warszawa II | 15 | +5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Podhale Nowy Targ | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Lechia Zielona Góra | 15 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 |  Olimpia Grudziądz | 15 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Hutnik Kraków | 15 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Avia Świdnik | 15 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stal Stalowa Wola | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 |  Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 15 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Sokół Kleczew | 15 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 |  Świt Skolwin | 15 | -13 | 13 |
| 17 |  Śląsk Wrocław II | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  Resovia Rzeszów | 15 | -16 | 6 |
More II Liga East predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
Our pick is Znicz Pruszków or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
On our numbers Znicz Pruszków have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rekord Bielsko-Biała 16%.
How many goals will there be in Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
Znicz Pruszków vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion MZOS Znicz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.