Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Lechia Zielona Góra prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Zawisza Bydgoszcz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Zawisza Bydgoszcz to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultZawisza Bydgoszcz to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceZawisza Bydgoszcz or draw ✓81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.11
Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Lechia Zielona Góra preview and prediction
The match
The II Liga East sees Zawisza Bydgoszcz take on Lechia Zielona Góra on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Zawisza Bydgoszcz are 5th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Lechia Zielona Góra sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zawisza Bydgoszcz's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Resovia Rzeszów 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lechia Zielona Góra's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Sokół Kleczew 6–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Zawisza Bydgoszcz and 1.1 for Lechia Zielona Góra. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Zawisza Bydgoszcz or draw (81%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Zawisza Bydgoszcz to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zawisza Bydgoszcz or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2–1 Lechia Zielona Góra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zawisza Bydgoszcz58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Lechia Zielona Góra19%fair 5.23 · @3.40
3.17Expected goals
2.06Zawisza Bydgoszcz xG
1.11Lechia Zielona Góra xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2.1 – 1.1 Lechia Zielona Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zawisza Bydgoszcz to win✓
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Zawisza Bydgoszcz or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Zawisza Bydgoszcz ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zawisza Bydgoszcz / FT Zawisza Bydgoszcz✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.11
–
Form
Zawisza Bydgoszcz – last 6
WLDLWW
8 Aug
vs Resovia Rzeszów
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Rekord Bielsko-Biała
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Sokół Kleczew
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Polonia Warszawa
2–3
L
11 Jul
vs ŁKS Łódź II
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Legia Warszawa II
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 6
WDDLWL
8 Aug
vs Sokół Kleczew
6–1
W
1 Aug
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Miedź Legnica II
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Warta Poznań
2–1
W
15 Jul
vs Carina Gubin
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zawisza Bydgoszcz and Lechia Zielona Góra.
What is the prediction for Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our pick is Zawisza Bydgoszcz or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
On our numbers Zawisza Bydgoszcz have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lechia Zielona Góra 19%.
How many goals will there be in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our predicted score is Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2–1 Lechia Zielona Góra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Lechia Zielona Góra (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
