Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Lechia Zielona Góra to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLechia Zielona Góra to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz preview and prediction
The match
The II Liga East sees Lechia Zielona Góra take on Olimpia Grudziądz on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at MOSiR. Lechia Zielona Góra are 9th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Olimpia Grudziądz sit 10th on 22 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lechia Zielona Góra's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Olimpia Grudziądz's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Avia Świdnik 1–4 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Lechia Zielona Góra and 1.7 for Olimpia Grudziądz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Lechia Zielona Góra to win at 3.00 – 40% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lechia Zielona Góra 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lechia Zielona Góra40%fair 2.47 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.10
Olimpia Grudziądz36%fair 2.80 · @2.05
3.50Expected goals
1.81Lechia Zielona Góra xG
1.69Olimpia Grudziądz xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Lechia Zielona Góra 1.8 – 1.7 Olimpia Grudziądz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lechia Zielona Góra to win✗
40%
2.47
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lechia Zielona Góra / FT Lechia Zielona Góra✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.97
–
Form
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 6
DLWLWW
25 Jul
vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Miedź Legnica II
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Warta Poznań
2–1
W
15 Jul
vs Carina Gubin
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Barycz Sułów
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Miedz Legnica
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Olimpia Grudziądz – last 6
LWWWWL
26 Jul
@ Avia Świdnik
1–4
L
18 Jul
@ Polonia Środa
3–0
W
11 Jul
@ Arka Gdynia
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Lechia Gdansk
3–1
W
30 Jun
vs Petrolul Ploiesti
4–1
W
2 Jun
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lechia Zielona Góra and Olimpia Grudziądz.
What is the prediction for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
On our numbers Lechia Zielona Góra have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpia Grudziądz 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our predicted score is Lechia Zielona Góra 1–1 Olimpia Grudziądz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Olimpia Grudziądz (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at MOSiR.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
