Value bet: Al Taawon to win @ 1.82 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Taawon to win ✓59% · @1.82
Double chanceAl Taawon or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.66
Damac vs Al Taawon preview and prediction
The match
The King's Cup sees Damac take on Al Taawon on Wednesday 19 August, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Form guide
Damac's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Al Taawon's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Al Khaleej Saihat 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Damac arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Damac and 1.9 for Al Taawon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Damac 16%, draw 25%, Al Taawon 59%.
Safer route: Al Taawon or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Al Taawon to win at 1.82 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Damac 0–2 Al Taawon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Damac16%fair 6.25 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.60
Al Taawon59%fair 1.68 · @1.82
2.80Expected goals
0.90Damac xG
1.90Al Taawon xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Damac 0.9 – 1.9 Al Taawon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Taawon to win✓
59%
1.68
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Al Taawon or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Al Taawon ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Taawon / FT Al Taawon✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.66
–
Form
Damac – last 6
LLWDWW
21 May
@ Al-Nassr
1–4
L
28 Apr
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Al Okhdood
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Al Najma
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Al Riyadh
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Taawon – last 6
DLLLWD
15 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
0–0
D
21 May
@ Al-Hazm
0–2
L
11 May
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–2
L
29 Apr
vs Al-Ittihad FC
0–2
L
23 Apr
@ Al Najma
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ NEOM
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Damac and Al Taawon.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Damac vs Al Taawon?
On our numbers Damac have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Taawon 59%.
How many goals will there be in Damac vs Al Taawon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Damac vs Al Taawon?
Our predicted score is Damac 0–2 Al Taawon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Damac vs Al Taawon?
Damac vs Al Taawon (King's Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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