The King's Cup sees Al Diriyah take on Al-Nassr on Tuesday 18 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Form guide
Al Diriyah's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Al-Ahli Jeddah 0–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Nassr's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Al-Fateh 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Al Diriyah arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.8 for Al Diriyah and 2.3 for Al-Nassr. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Diriyah 13%, draw 16%, Al-Nassr 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Nassr to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Al Diriyah 0–2 Al-Nassr. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Diriyah13%fair 7.87 · @7.50
Draw16%fair 6.07 · @4.85
Al-Nassr71%fair 1.41 · @1.33
3.12Expected goals
0.83Al Diriyah xG
2.29Al-Nassr xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Al Diriyah 0.8 – 2.3 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.64
–
Form
Al Diriyah – last 6
LWWWWW
13 Aug
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–1
L
23 Jul
vs FA 2000
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Trelleborg
4–1
W
18 May
vs Al Jabalain
3–0
W
14 May
vs Al Bukayriyah
3–2
W
1 May
vs Abha
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Nassr – last 6
WLLWDW
15 Aug
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
4 Aug
vs Almeria
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Estrela
2–4
L
21 May
vs Damac
4–1
W
12 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
7 May
@ Al Shabab
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Diriyah and Al-Nassr.
What is the prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
Our pick is Al-Nassr to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
On our numbers Al Diriyah have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Al-Nassr 71%.
How many goals will there be in Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
Our predicted score is Al Diriyah 0–2 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr (King's Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Okhdood2
Al Khaleej Saihat0