Premier League · Russia · Ozon Arena

FC Krasnodar

LWDDL
4–2
FT

CSKA Moscow

DWWLW

FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2

Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 3.26 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✓42% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.39

Win chances

FC Krasnodar42%fair 2.41 · @2.13
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.76
CSKA Moscow36%fair 2.76 · @3.26
2.82Expected goals
1.47FC Krasnodar xG
1.35CSKA Moscow xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.5 – 1.3 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates FC Krasnodar and CSKA Moscow on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

FC Krasnodar have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. CSKA Moscow have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. CSKA Moscow come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for FC Krasnodar, 1.3 for CSKA Moscow). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 2 meetings, FC Krasnodar have won 1, CSKA Moscow have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.50. For a bigger price, CSKA Moscow to win at 3.26 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Krasnodar to win ✓42%2.412.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.56
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.42
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar ✓24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%11.39–

Form

FC Krasnodar – last 6

LWDDLL
31 Oct@ Rodina Moskva1–2L
27 Octvs Dynamo2–1W
24 Octvs Baltika1–1D
17 Oct@ Lokomotiv3–3D
13 Octvs Fakel0–2L
10 Octvs Zenit2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CSKA Moscow – last 6

DWWLWW
1 Nov@ FC Orenburg0–0D
29 Octvs Lokomotiv3–1W
25 Octvs Spartak Moscow2–0W
18 Oct@ Dynamo1–3L
14 Octvs FC Rostov4–0W
11 Octvs Rodina Moskva3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026FC Krasnodar v CSKA Moscow4–0
4 Mar 2026CSKA Moscow v FC Krasnodar3–1

More Premier League predictions

FT Fakel1 Dynamo2 162361 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.22 ✓ FT Akhmat1 Rodina Moskva0 641917 1XAkhmat or draw 83%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?

On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CSKA Moscow 36%.

How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

When is FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?

FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.