Premier League · Russia · Fakel Stadium

Fakel

LDLWW
1–2
FT

Dynamo

WLLWW

Fakel vs Dynamo prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultDynamo to win ✓61% · @1.65
Double chanceDynamo or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.29

Win chances

Fakel16%fair 6.15 · @5.25
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.10
Dynamo61%fair 1.63 · @1.65
2.56Expected goals
0.78Fakel xG
1.78Dynamo xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Fakel 0.8 – 1.8 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Dynamo travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 16% for Fakel.

Fakel have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Dynamo have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Dynamo come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (0.8 for Fakel, 1.8 for Dynamo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Fakel have won 0, Dynamo have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.36.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDynamo to win ✓61%1.631.65
Double chanceDynamo or draw ✓84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.871.89
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.97
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.32
Half-time resultDynamo ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dynamo / FT Dynamo ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.29–

Form

Fakel – last 6

LDLWWL
31 Oct@ Rubin0–1L
27 Octvs Akhmat0–0D
24 Octvs Rodina Moskva0–1L
17 Oct@ Krylia Sovetov2–1W
13 Oct@ FC Krasnodar2–0W
10 Octvs Lokomotiv0–5L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dynamo – last 6

WLLWWW
31 Octvs Akhmat2–0W
27 Oct@ FC Krasnodar1–2L
24 Oct@ Akron1–3L
18 Octvs CSKA Moscow3–1W
14 Oct@ Akhmat2–1W
11 Oct@ Rubin1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Aug 2026Fakel v Dynamo0–1

More Premier League predictions

FT Akhmat1 Rodina Moskva0 641917 1XAkhmat or draw 83%@1.25 ✓ FT FC Krasnodar4 CSKA Moscow2 422236 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.42 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fakel vs Dynamo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Fakel vs Dynamo?

On our numbers Fakel have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dynamo 61%.

How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Dynamo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

When is Fakel vs Dynamo?

Fakel vs Dynamo (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.