Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Fakel to win @ 4.15 – our chance 30% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRubin to win ✓47% · @2.01
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.81
Rubin vs Fakel preview and prediction
The match
Fakel travel to Ak Bars Arena in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October (13:15 WAT) to face Rubin. Rubin are 8th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Fakel sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rubin's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fakel's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Akhmat 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fakel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Rubin and 1.0 for Fakel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rubin 47%, draw 22%, Fakel 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.04.
Value angle: Fakel to win at 4.15 – 30% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Rubin 1–1 Fakel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubin47%fair 2.11 · @2.01
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
Fakel30%fair 3.28 · @4.15
2.36Expected goals
1.35Rubin xG
1.01Fakel xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Rubin 1.4 – 1.0 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rubin to win✓
47%
2.11
2.01
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
2.04 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rubin / FT Rubin✓
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.81
–
Form
Rubin – last 6
LLLLLD
28 Oct
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
24 Oct
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Spartak Moscow
0–4
L
15 Oct
vs FC Orenburg
1–4
L
11 Oct
vs Dynamo
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Rodina Moskva
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fakel – last 6
DLWWLW
27 Oct
vs Akhmat
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Rodina Moskva
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
13 Oct
@ FC Krasnodar
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Lokomotiv
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs FC Vitebsk
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubin and Fakel.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Rubin vs Fakel?
On our numbers Rubin have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fakel 30%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is Rubin 1–1 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rubin vs Fakel?
Rubin vs Fakel (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Ak Bars Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
