Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
2
Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓88% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Moscow travel to RZD Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 1 November (17:45 WAT) to face Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv are 15th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Spartak Moscow sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lokomotiv's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to CSKA Moscow 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Rubin 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spartak Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Lokomotiv 2–0 Spartak Moscow. Across their last 2 meetings Lokomotiv have won 1, Spartak Moscow 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Lokomotiv and 2.0 for Spartak Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Spartak Moscow or draw (88%) at 1.24.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.61.
Value angle: Spartak Moscow to win at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spartak Moscow or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.24, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 0–1 Spartak Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv12%fair 8.26 · @4.35
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @4.05
Spartak Moscow63%fair 1.58 · @1.77
2.80Expected goals
0.80Lokomotiv xG
2.00Spartak Moscow xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 0.8 – 2.0 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spartak Moscow 63%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 0–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow?
Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
