CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
1
Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 3.04 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow preview and prediction
The match
CSKA Moscow host Spartak Moscow in the Premier League on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at VEB Arena. CSKA Moscow are 5th with 26 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Spartak Moscow sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
CSKA Moscow's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Dynamo 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Rubin 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Spartak Moscow 1–0 CSKA Moscow.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for CSKA Moscow and 1.5 for Spartak Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: CSKA Moscow to win at 3.04 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 1–1 Spartak Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Moscow35%fair 2.86 · @3.04
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.60
Spartak Moscow44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
2.82Expected goals
1.31CSKA Moscow xG
1.52Spartak Moscow xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.3 – 1.5 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spartak Moscow 44%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
