Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
FC Krasnodar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FC Krasnodar to win @ 1.72 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗66% · @1.72
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.99
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar preview and prediction
The match
Krylia Sovetov host FC Krasnodar in the Premier League on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Samara Arena. Krylia Sovetov are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while FC Krasnodar sit 4th on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Baltika 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Krasnodar's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Fakel 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Krasnodar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Krylia Sovetov and 2.0 for FC Krasnodar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Krylia Sovetov 13%, draw 20%, FC Krasnodar 66%.
Safer route: FC Krasnodar or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.72.
Value angle: FC Krasnodar to win at 1.72 – 66% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Krasnodar or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Krylia Sovetov 0–2 FC Krasnodar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Krylia Sovetov13%fair 7.44 · @4.65
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.10
FC Krasnodar66%fair 1.50 · @1.72
2.78Expected goals
0.77Krylia Sovetov xG
2.01FC Krasnodar xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–36%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 0.8 – 2.0 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Krasnodar to win✗
66%
1.50
1.72 ▲
Double chance
FC Krasnodar or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.72
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
FC Krasnodar ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.99
–
Form
Krylia Sovetov – last 6
DDWDLL
2 Sep
@ Baltika
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Akhmat
3–3
D
23 Aug
@ Akron
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Zenit
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs Baltika
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Krasnodar – last 6
DWWWWW
1 Sep
@ Fakel
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs FC Rostov
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
1–0
W
19 Aug
@ Dynamo
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Akhmat
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Spartak Moscow
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Krylia Sovetov and FC Krasnodar.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
Our pick is FC Krasnodar or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Krasnodar 66%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 0–2 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar?
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
