Dynamo host Rodina Moskva in the Premier League on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 13:15 (WAT) at VTB Arena. Dynamo are 2nd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Rodina Moskva sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dynamo's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to FC Krasnodar 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rodina Moskva's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to FC Orenburg 1–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for Dynamo and 0.8 for Rodina Moskva. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, Rodina Moskva 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.81.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dynamo to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Dynamo 2–0 Rodina Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dynamo72%fair 1.39 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @5.15
Rodina Moskva8%fair 12.56 · @7.50
3.28Expected goals
2.48Dynamo xG
0.80Rodina Moskva xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Dynamo 2.5 – 0.8 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo to win✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Double chance
Dynamo or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.81
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Half-time result
Dynamo ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo✗
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Dynamo – last 6
LLWWLD
19 Aug
vs FC Krasnodar
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Zenit
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Fakel
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Baltika
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
LDWWLL
18 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Akron
3–3
D
9 Aug
@ Zenit
2–1
W
4 Aug
vs Rubin
5–0
W
31 Jul
vs FC Rostov
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Spartak Moscow
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Dynamo to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Dynamo have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rodina Moskva 8%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Dynamo 2–0 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at VTB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
