Value bet: Rubin to win @ 3.90 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika to win ✗44% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.02
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Baltika vs Rubin preview and prediction
The match
Baltika host Rubin in the Premier League on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Rostec Arena. Baltika are 9th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Rubin sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Baltika's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Dinamo Makhachkala 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rubin's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Spartak Moscow 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Baltika and 1.2 for Rubin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika 44%, draw 22%, Rubin 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.02.
Value angle: Rubin to win at 3.90 – 34% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Baltika 1–1 Rubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika44%fair 2.26 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.28
Rubin34%fair 2.98 · @3.90
2.53Expected goals
1.38Baltika xG
1.15Rubin xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.4 – 1.2 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win✗
44%
2.26
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
2.02 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika / FT Baltika✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Form
Baltika – last 6
DLWLWL
20 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–0
W
5 Aug
@ Zenit
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Dynamo
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rubin – last 6
DDDLWL
19 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ FC Rostov
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ Rodina Moskva
0–5
L
1 Aug
@ Akron
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs FC Krasnodar
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika and Rubin.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Baltika vs Rubin?
On our numbers Baltika have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rubin 34%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Rubin?
Baltika vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
