Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.33
CSKA Moscow vs Fakel preview and prediction
The match
Fakel travel to VEB Arena in the Premier League on Saturday 15 August (14:15 WAT) to face CSKA Moscow. CSKA Moscow are 5th with 26 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Fakel sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CSKA Moscow's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with FC Rostov 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fakel's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Akhmat 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
CSKA Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for CSKA Moscow and 0.6 for Fakel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 1–0 Fakel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Moscow66%fair 1.52 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.55
Fakel14%fair 6.99 · @7.30
2.42Expected goals
1.77CSKA Moscow xG
0.65Fakel xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.8 – 0.6 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
66%
1.52
1.46
Double chance
CSKA Moscow or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.68
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.33
–
Form
CSKA Moscow – last 6
DDDWLL
8 Aug
vs FC Rostov
0–0
D
4 Aug
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Krylia Sovetov
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Baltika
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Dynamo
2–5
L
14 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fakel – last 6
DLLLLD
10 Aug
vs Akhmat
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Dynamo
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ FC Rostov
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Akron
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and Fakel.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fakel 14%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–0 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
CSKA Moscow vs Fakel (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
