Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Baltika to win @ 2.44 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika to win ✓44% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika preview and prediction
The match
Krylia Sovetov host Baltika in the Premier League on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Samara Arena. Krylia Sovetov are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Baltika sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Baltika's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Zenit 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Baltika arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Krylia Sovetov 0–1 Baltika.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.2 for Baltika. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Krylia Sovetov 33%, draw 23%, Baltika 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Baltika to win at 2.44 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Krylia Sovetov 0–1 Baltika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Krylia Sovetov33%fair 3.06 · @3.16
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.18
Baltika44%fair 2.27 · @2.44
2.15Expected goals
0.96Krylia Sovetov xG
1.19Baltika xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.0 – 1.2 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baltika 44%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 0–1 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
