Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✗70% · @1.55
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.25
CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees CSKA Moscow take on Krylia Sovetov on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 14:15 (WAT) at VEB Arena. CSKA Moscow are 5th with 26 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Krylia Sovetov sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
CSKA Moscow's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Baltika 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Dynamo 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
CSKA Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Krylia Sovetov 2–5 CSKA Moscow.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for CSKA Moscow and 0.5 for Krylia Sovetov. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 54% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.15 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.35, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CSKA Moscow 1–0 Krylia Sovetov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Moscow70%fair 1.44 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.50
Krylia Sovetov12%fair 8.54 · @6.00
2.20Expected goals
1.72CSKA Moscow xG
0.48Krylia Sovetov xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.7 – 0.5 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Krylia Sovetov 12%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–0 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
