Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗61% · @1.71
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓81% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.73
Lokomotiv vs Akhmat preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Lokomotiv take on Akhmat on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at RZD Arena. Lokomotiv are 15th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Akhmat sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lokomotiv's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Rubin 1–3 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 6. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Akhmat's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat IMT Novi Beograd 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 March 2026, finished Lokomotiv 2–2 Akhmat.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Lokomotiv and 0.9 for Akhmat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv 61%, draw 20%, Akhmat 19%.
Safer route: Lokomotiv or draw (81%) at 1.21.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.74.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lokomotiv or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Lokomotiv 1–0 Akhmat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv61%fair 1.63 · @1.71
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.10
Akhmat19%fair 5.36 · @4.90
2.80Expected goals
1.89Lokomotiv xG
0.91Akhmat xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.9 – 0.9 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Lokomotiv or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Akhmat 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–0 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
Lokomotiv vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
