Value bet: Atenas to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiramar to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Miramar vs Atenas preview and prediction
The match
Atenas travel to Parque Palermo in the Segunda División on Monday 6 July (22:00 WAT) to face Miramar. Miramar are 12th with 30 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Atenas sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Miramar's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Paysandu 3–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Atenas's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Tacuarembo 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Miramar and 1.2 for Atenas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miramar 39%, draw 24%, Atenas 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Atenas to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Miramar 1–1 Atenas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miramar39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Atenas37%fair 2.68 · @2.95
2.53Expected goals
1.28Miramar xG
1.25Atenas xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Miramar 1.3 – 1.2 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miramar to win✗
39%
2.58
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miramar / FT Miramar✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.25
–
Form
Miramar – last 6
WLWDWD
27 Jun
@ Paysandu
3–2
W
19 Jun
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–1
L
13 Jun
@ Uruguay Montevideo
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Oriental
2–2
D
30 May
@ Colón
3–1
W
25 May
vs Fenix
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atenas – last 6
WWWLWL
27 Jun
vs Tacuarembo
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Plaza Colonia
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs La Luz
4–0
W
7 Jun
@ Cerrito
1–2
L
31 May
@ CA River Plate
2–0
W
17 May
@ Sportivo Huracan
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miramar and Atenas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Miramar vs Atenas?
On our numbers Miramar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atenas 37%.
How many goals will there be in Miramar vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miramar vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Miramar 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Miramar vs Atenas?
Miramar vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
