The Segunda División sees Tacuarembo take on Cerrito on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Tacuarembo are 13th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Cerrito sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tacuarembo's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Atenas 0–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerrito's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Plaza Colonia 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerrito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Tacuarembo and 1.3 for Cerrito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tacuarembo 1–1 Cerrito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tacuarembo37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Cerrito39%fair 2.58 · @2.65
2.49Expected goals
1.23Tacuarembo xG
1.26Cerrito xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.2 – 1.3 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerrito to win✗
39%
2.58
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerrito / FT Cerrito✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.57
–
Form
Tacuarembo – last 6
LWLWLW
27 Jun
@ Atenas
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Sportivo Huracan
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
1 Jun
@ Oriental
0–2
L
24 May
vs Colón
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cerrito – last 6
WLLWWW
28 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ La Luz
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ CA River Plate
4–6
L
7 Jun
vs Atenas
2–1
W
30 May
@ Paysandu
1–0
W
24 May
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and Cerrito.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cerrito 39%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
