Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65 – our chance 69% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrujillanos FC to win67% · @1.57
Double chanceTrujillanos FC or draw88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score60% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–028% · fair 3.54
Trujillanos FC vs Urena SC preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Venezuela sees Trujillanos FC take on Urena SC on Wednesday 19 August, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Trujillanos FC are 4th with 5 points from 6 games, while Urena SC sit 3rd on 6 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Trujillanos FC's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Portuguesa FC 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Urena SC's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Fundación Lara Deportiva 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Urena SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Trujillanos FC and 0.2 for Urena SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Trujillanos FC 67%, draw 21%, Urena SC 12%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 – 69% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Trujillanos FC 1–0 Urena SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trujillanos FC67%fair 1.50 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.55
Urena SC12%fair 8.36 · @5.40
1.46Expected goals
1.21Trujillanos FC xG
0.24Urena SC xG
40%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–028%
0–023%
2–017%
3–07%
1–17%
0–16%
From our goals model: Trujillanos FC 1.2 – 0.2 Urena SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trujillanos FC to win
67%
1.50
1.57
Double chance
Trujillanos FC or draw
88%
1.14
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.80
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.17
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trujillanos FC / FT Trujillanos FC
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
28%
3.54
–
Form
Trujillanos FC – last 6
LLLDLL
16 Aug
@ Portuguesa FC
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Deportivo Tachira FC
1–3
L
4 Aug
@ Carabobo FC
0–2
L
24 Jun
@ Rayo Zuliano
0–0
D
21 Apr
@ Puerto Cabello
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Caracas FC
2–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Urena SC – last 6
DDWWWW
9 Aug
vs Fundación Lara Deportiva
1–1
D
3 Aug
@ Zamora FC B
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Puerto Cabello II
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Real Frontera
5–1
W
24 Jun
vs Deportivo Lara
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Deportivo Lara
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trujillanos FC and Urena SC.
What is the prediction for Trujillanos FC vs Urena SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Trujillanos FC vs Urena SC?
On our numbers Trujillanos FC have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Urena SC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Trujillanos FC vs Urena SC?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trujillanos FC vs Urena SC?
Our predicted score is Trujillanos FC 1–0 Urena SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Trujillanos FC vs Urena SC?
Trujillanos FC vs Urena SC (Copa Venezuela) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Atletico Barinas3
Zamora FC1
Aragua FC0
Fundación Lara Deportiva1