Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSassuolo to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chanceSassuolo or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Sassuolo vs Padova preview and prediction
The match
Padova travel to face Sassuolo in the Friendlies Clubs on Wednesday 22 July (16:00 WAT).
Form guide
Sassuolo's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Parma 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Padova's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Cesena 4–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Sassuolo and 0.8 for Padova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sassuolo 68%, draw 20%, Padova 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sassuolo to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sassuolo 2–0 Padova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sassuolo68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.00
Padova12%fair 8.50 · @5.00
2.89Expected goals
2.12Sassuolo xG
0.77Padova xG
46%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 2.1 – 0.8 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sassuolo to win✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Double chance
Sassuolo or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Sassuolo ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sassuolo / FT Sassuolo✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.02
–
Form
Sassuolo – last 6
LLLWDW
24 May
@ Parma
0–1
L
17 May
vs Lecce
2–3
L
8 May
@ Torino
1–2
L
3 May
vs AC Milan
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Fiorentina
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Como
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Padova – last 6
WWLLDD
8 May
@ Cesena
4–3
W
1 May
vs Pescara
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Frosinone
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Venezia
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Spezia
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Bari
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Padova.
Our pick is Sassuolo to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Padova?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Padova 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Padova?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 2–0 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Padova?
Sassuolo vs Padova (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 22 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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