Double chanceAthletic Club or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.47
Leioa vs Athletic Club preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Leioa take on Athletic Club on Saturday 18 July, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Leioa's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Albacete II 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Athletic Club's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Derio 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Leioa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 0.7 for Leioa and 2.9 for Athletic Club. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 44% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leioa 4%, draw 15%, Athletic Club 81%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Leioa 0–3 Athletic Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leioa4%fair 23.51 · @67.00
Draw15%fair 6.76 · @15.00
Athletic Club81%fair 1.24 · @1.02
3.57Expected goals
0.67Leioa xG
2.90Athletic Club xG
44%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–311%
0–48%
0–18%
1–28%
1–38%
From our goals model: Leioa 0.7 – 2.9 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✓
81%
1.24
1.02
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Athletic Club ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✓
59%
1.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.47
–
Form
Leioa – last 6
LWWWLW
21 Jun
@ Albacete II
0–2
L
13 Jun
vs Albacete II
1–0
W
6 Jun
vs Derio
1–0
W
31 May
@ Derio
1–0
W
23 May
vs Touring
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ San Ignacio
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
WDLLWL
15 Jul
@ Derio
3–0
W
17 May
vs Celta Vigo
1–1
D
13 May
@ Espanyol
0–2
L
10 May
vs Valencia
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Getafe
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leioa and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Leioa vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leioa vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Leioa have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Athletic Club 81%.
How many goals will there be in Leioa vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leioa vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Leioa 0–3 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Leioa vs Athletic Club?
Leioa vs Athletic Club (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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