Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Bologna or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bologna to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBologna to win ✗64% · @1.95
Double chanceBologna or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.62
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 17.82
Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld preview and prediction
The match
Bologna host Arminia Bielefeld in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Bologna's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Atalanta 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Arminia Bielefeld's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Imst 0–10 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.8 goals: 3.7 for Bologna and 2.1 for Arminia Bielefeld. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 93% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Bologna to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bologna or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bologna 3–2 Arminia Bielefeld. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bologna64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
Arminia Bielefeld14%fair 7.27 · @3.40
5.80Expected goals
3.73Bologna xG
2.07Arminia Bielefeld xG
68%Both score
93%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–26%
3–15%
4–25%
4–15%
2–25%
2–14%
From our goals model: Bologna 3.7 – 2.1 Arminia Bielefeld expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bologna to win✗
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Bologna or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.47
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Bologna ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bologna / FT Bologna✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
6%
17.82
–
Form
Bologna – last 6
WWDLLW
17 May
@ Atalanta
1–0
W
11 May
@ Napoli
3–2
W
3 May
vs Cagliari
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Aston Villa
0–4
L
9 Apr
vs Aston Villa
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Cremonese
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arminia Bielefeld – last 6
LWWWLD
14 Jul
@ Imst
0–10
L
8 Jul
@ FC Gutersloh
3–0
W
2 Jul
@ Peckeloh
7–3
W
17 May
vs Hertha BSC
6–1
W
8 May
@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–2
L
2 May
vs VfL Bochum
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bologna and Arminia Bielefeld.
What is the prediction for Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our pick is Bologna or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?
On our numbers Bologna have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arminia Bielefeld 14%.
How many goals will there be in Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?
We expect about 5.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 93% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our predicted score is Bologna 3–2 Arminia Bielefeld, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.8 goals in total.
When is Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ajka0
Csakvar2
Podbrezová3
Liptovský Mikuláš2
Monaco5
Saint-Priest2
Roskilde2
Fremad Amager2
Voitsberg5
Bistrica4
OH Leuven1
K. Lierse S.K.0
Middelfart3
VSK Århus0
Dunkerque2
Standard Liege0