Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.73
NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees NEC Nijmegen take on MSV Duisburg on Wednesday 8 July, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
NEC Nijmegen's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with De Treffers 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
MSV Duisburg's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for NEC Nijmegen and 0.7 for MSV Duisburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NEC Nijmegen 69%, draw 19%, MSV Duisburg 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NEC Nijmegen to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: NEC Nijmegen 2–0 MSV Duisburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NEC Nijmegen69%fair 1.44 · @1.38
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.33
MSV Duisburg12%fair 8.58 · @6.25
2.66Expected goals
2.00NEC Nijmegen xG
0.66MSV Duisburg xG
42%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 2.0 – 0.7 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Double chance
NEC Nijmegen or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
10.73
–
Form
NEC Nijmegen – last 5
DWDWD
1 Jul
@ De Treffers
1–1
D
17 May
vs GO Ahead Eagles
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Heerenveen
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs PSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
MSV Duisburg – last 6
DWLWWW
8 May
@ Erzgebirge Aue
0–0
D
3 May
vs Energie Cottbus
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Alemannia Aachen
1–3
L
7 Apr
vs VfL Osnabrück
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs TSV 1860 München
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs FC Saarbrücken
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and MSV Duisburg.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?
Our pick is NEC Nijmegen to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and MSV Duisburg 12%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 2–0 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?
NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 8 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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