Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.79 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Sochi to win ✗67% · @1.49
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula preview and prediction
The match
FC Sochi host Arsenal Tula in the Friendlies Clubs on Friday 26 June, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
FC Sochi's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Akhmat 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Arsenal Tula's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Spartak Kostroma 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Sochi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for FC Sochi and 1.1 for Arsenal Tula. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Sochi 67%, draw 18%, Arsenal Tula 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.86.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.79 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: FC Sochi 2–1 Arsenal Tula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Sochi67%fair 1.49 · @1.49
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @4.25
Arsenal Tula15%fair 6.60 · @6.05
3.46Expected goals
2.40FC Sochi xG
1.06Arsenal Tula xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC Sochi 2.4 – 1.1 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win✗
67%
1.49
1.49
Double chance
FC Sochi or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.86
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.79 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.33
Half-time result
FC Sochi ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Form
FC Sochi – last 6
DLWWWW
17 May
vs Akhmat
1–1
D
10 May
@ Zenit
1–2
L
3 May
vs FC Orenburg
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Krylia Sovetov
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ FC Rostov
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula – last 6
DLLDDL
21 Jun
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
17 Jun
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–2
L
11 May
@ Enisey
0–1
L
4 May
vs Rotor Volgograd
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Chelyabinsk
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Fakel
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and Arsenal Tula.
What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Arsenal Tula 15%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is FC Sochi 2–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?
FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.