Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMTK Budapest to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC preview and prediction
The match
The NB I sees MTK Budapest take on Kisvarda FC on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT). MTK Budapest are 10th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Kisvarda FC sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MTK Budapest's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Debreceni VSC 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Kisvarda FC's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Gyori ETO FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
MTK Budapest arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for MTK Budapest and 1.2 for Kisvarda FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: MTK Budapest 59%, draw 17%, Kisvarda FC 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was MTK Budapest to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: MTK Budapest 2–1 Kisvarda FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MTK Budapest59%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @3.50
Kisvarda FC23%fair 4.30 · @3.40
3.17Expected goals
2.02MTK Budapest xG
1.15Kisvarda FC xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: MTK Budapest 2.0 – 1.2 Kisvarda FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MTK Budapest to win✗
59%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
MTK Budapest ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MTK Budapest / FT MTK Budapest✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
MTK Budapest – last 6
DWDLDW
28 Aug
@ Debreceni VSC
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Nyiregyhaza
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Ujpest
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Puskas Academy
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Budapest Honved
3–3
D
27 Jul
vs Zalaegerszegi TE
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kisvarda FC – last 6
DDLLWD
30 Aug
vs Gyori ETO FC
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Debreceni VSC
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Nyiregyhaza
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Ujpest
2–4
L
31 Jul
@ Puskas Academy
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Budapest Honved
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MTK Budapest and Kisvarda FC.
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
Our pick is MTK Budapest to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
On our numbers MTK Budapest have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Kisvarda FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
Our predicted score is MTK Budapest 2–1 Kisvarda FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC (NB I) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
