Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.94 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.94Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUjpest to win ✗64% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest preview and prediction
The match
The NB I sees Ujpest take on MTK Budapest on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Szusza Ferenc Stadion. Ujpest are 6th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while MTK Budapest sit 10th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ujpest's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Kisvarda FC 4–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
MTK Budapest's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Puskas Academy 2–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Ujpest arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.6 for Ujpest and 1.4 for MTK Budapest. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ujpest 64%, draw 15%, MTK Budapest 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ujpest to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.94, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ujpest 2–1 MTK Budapest. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ujpest64%fair 1.55 · @1.94
Draw15%fair 6.66 · @3.70
MTK Budapest20%fair 4.88 · @3.30
4.03Expected goals
2.61Ujpest xG
1.41MTK Budapest xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Ujpest 2.6 – 1.4 MTK Budapest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ujpest to win✗
64%
1.55
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.60
Half-time result
Ujpest ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ujpest / FT Ujpest✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.62
–
Form
Ujpest – last 6
WWLWDD
8 Aug
@ Kisvarda FC
4–2
W
2 Aug
vs Debreceni VSC
4–2
W
24 Jul
@ Nyiregyhaza
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Radnik Bijeljina
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Diosgyori VTK
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ TSV Hartberg
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
MTK Budapest – last 6
LDWDWL
7 Aug
vs Puskas Academy
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Budapest Honved
3–3
D
27 Jul
vs Zalaegerszegi TE
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Komárno
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Kozarmisleny FC
3–0
W
11 Jul
vs Koper
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ujpest and MTK Budapest.
What is the prediction for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
Our pick is Ujpest to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.94.
Who will win Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
On our numbers Ujpest have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and MTK Budapest 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
Our predicted score is Ujpest 2–1 MTK Budapest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest (NB I) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Szusza Ferenc Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
