Value bet: MTK Budapest to win @ 2.18 – our chance 51% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMTK Budapest to win ✓51% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.34
MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE preview and prediction
The match
Zalaegerszegi TE travel to face MTK Budapest in the NB I on Monday 27 July (18:30 WAT). MTK Budapest are 10th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Zalaegerszegi TE sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MTK Budapest's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Komárno 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Zalaegerszegi TE's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Konyaspor 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Zalaegerszegi TE arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for MTK Budapest and 1.2 for Zalaegerszegi TE. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: MTK Budapest 51%, draw 21%, Zalaegerszegi TE 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: MTK Budapest to win at 2.18 – 51% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: MTK Budapest 1–1 Zalaegerszegi TE. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MTK Budapest51%fair 1.97 · @2.18
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.50
Zalaegerszegi TE29%fair 3.48 · @2.90
2.85Expected goals
1.67MTK Budapest xG
1.18Zalaegerszegi TE xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: MTK Budapest 1.7 – 1.2 Zalaegerszegi TE expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MTK Budapest to win✓
51%
1.97
2.18 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MTK Budapest / FT MTK Budapest✓
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
MTK Budapest – last 6
DWLLWL
18 Jul
vs Komárno
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Kozarmisleny FC
3–0
W
11 Jul
vs Koper
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs LNZ Cherkasy
0–4
L
8 Jul
@ Celje
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Kecskeméti TE
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zalaegerszegi TE – last 6
WWDWLL
18 Jul
@ Konyaspor
3–1
W
17 Jul
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Slovácko
3–3
D
4 Jul
@ NK Slaven Belupo
3–2
W
1 Jul
@ Ajka
2–3
L
1 May
vs Puskas Academy
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MTK Budapest and Zalaegerszegi TE.
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
On our numbers MTK Budapest have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zalaegerszegi TE 29%.
How many goals will there be in MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
Our predicted score is MTK Budapest 1–1 Zalaegerszegi TE, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE (NB I) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
