Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Sparta Praha or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sparta Praha to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Praha to win ✗66% · @1.70
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.40
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha preview and prediction
The match
The Czech Liga sees Baník Ostrava take on Sparta Praha on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích. Baník Ostrava are 13th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Sparta Praha sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Baník Ostrava's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Bohemians 1905 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sparta Praha's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Lillestrom 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sparta Praha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Baník Ostrava and 2.0 for Sparta Praha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baník Ostrava 15%, draw 20%, Sparta Praha 66%.
Safer route: Sparta Praha or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Sparta Praha to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sparta Praha or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Baník Ostrava 0–2 Sparta Praha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baník Ostrava15%fair 6.89 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.80
Sparta Praha66%fair 1.52 · @1.70
2.85Expected goals
0.82Baník Ostrava xG
2.03Sparta Praha xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Baník Ostrava 0.8 – 2.0 Sparta Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✗
66%
1.52
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.40
–
Form
Baník Ostrava – last 6
LDDDLL
10 Oct
@ Bohemians 1905
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ GKS Katowice
1–1
D
23 Sep
@ Kladno
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Slovácko
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Pardubice
1–2
L
9 Sep
@ FK Jablonec
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sparta Praha – last 6
DWWWWW
15 Oct
vs Lillestrom
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Pardubice
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs Vysočina Jihlava
5–3
W
20 Sep
@ Sigma Olomouc
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs FK Jablonec
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baník Ostrava and Sparta Praha.
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
Our pick is Sparta Praha or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
On our numbers Baník Ostrava have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sparta Praha 66%.
How many goals will there be in Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
Our predicted score is Baník Ostrava 0–2 Sparta Praha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Městský stadion ve Vítkovicích.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
