Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Praha to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.36
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec preview and prediction
The match
The Czech Liga sees Sparta Praha take on FK Jablonec on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at epet ARENA. Sparta Praha are 4th with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while FK Jablonec sit 7th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sparta Praha's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Viktoria Žižkov 5–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
FK Jablonec's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Baník Ostrava 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Sparta Praha and 0.8 for FK Jablonec. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sparta Praha 67%, draw 20%, FK Jablonec 13%.
Safer route: Sparta Praha or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sparta Praha to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sparta Praha 2–0 FK Jablonec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Praha67%fair 1.49 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.90
FK Jablonec13%fair 7.79 · @4.80
2.93Expected goals
2.12Sparta Praha xG
0.81FK Jablonec xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 2.1 – 0.8 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✓
67%
1.49
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.36
–
Form
Sparta Praha – last 6
WLLWWL
9 Sep
@ Viktoria Žižkov
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Slavia Praha
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Artis
4–0
W
15 Aug
vs Teplice
4–1
W
11 Aug
@ Lyon
0–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FK Jablonec – last 6
WLDLWL
9 Sep
vs Baník Ostrava
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Slovan Liberec
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Bohemians 1905
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Teplice
0–2
L
27 Aug
vs Rangers
1–0
W
20 Aug
@ Rangers
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Our pick is Sparta Praha to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Jablonec 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 2–0 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec (Czech Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at epet ARENA.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
