Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Baník Ostrava to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaník Ostrava to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceBaník Ostrava or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice preview and prediction
The match
Pardubice travel to Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich in the Czech Liga on Sunday 13 September (12:00 WAT) to face Baník Ostrava. Baník Ostrava are 13th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Pardubice sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Baník Ostrava's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to FK Jablonec 0–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pardubice's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Slovácko 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Baník Ostrava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Baník Ostrava and 0.7 for Pardubice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Baník Ostrava to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Baník Ostrava or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Baník Ostrava 1–0 Pardubice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baník Ostrava59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Pardubice15%fair 6.57 · @3.60
2.43Expected goals
1.68Baník Ostrava xG
0.75Pardubice xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Baník Ostrava 1.7 – 0.7 Pardubice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baník Ostrava to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Baník Ostrava or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baník Ostrava / FT Baník Ostrava✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Baník Ostrava – last 6
LLWWWL
9 Sep
@ FK Jablonec
0–3
L
6 Sep
@ Mlada Boleslav
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Sigma Olomouc
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ Sparta Brno
9–0
W
16 Aug
vs Artis
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pardubice – last 6
DLWLDL
5 Sep
@ Slovácko
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Artis
1–2
L
26 Aug
@ Písek
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Sigma Olomouc
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Mlada Boleslav
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Slavia Praha
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baník Ostrava and Pardubice.
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
Our pick is Baník Ostrava or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
On our numbers Baník Ostrava have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pardubice 15%.
How many goals will there be in Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
Our predicted score is Baník Ostrava 1–0 Pardubice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
