Value bet: Sigma Olomouc to win @ 2.84 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSigma Olomouc to win ✗40% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc preview and prediction
The match
The Czech Liga sees Baník Ostrava take on Sigma Olomouc on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich. Baník Ostrava are 13th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Sigma Olomouc sit 5th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Baník Ostrava's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Sparta Brno 9–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sigma Olomouc's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Pardubice 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Sigma Olomouc arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Baník Ostrava and 1.4 for Sigma Olomouc. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Sigma Olomouc to win at 2.84 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Baník Ostrava 1–1 Sigma Olomouc. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baník Ostrava37%fair 2.69 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
Sigma Olomouc40%fair 2.51 · @2.84
2.82Expected goals
1.38Baník Ostrava xG
1.44Sigma Olomouc xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Baník Ostrava 1.4 – 1.4 Sigma Olomouc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sigma Olomouc to win✗
40%
2.51
2.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sigma Olomouc / FT Sigma Olomouc✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
Baník Ostrava – last 6
WWLLWL
26 Aug
@ Sparta Brno
9–0
W
16 Aug
vs Artis
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Slavia Praha
0–4
L
25 Jul
@ Zlin
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ AS Trencin
2–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sigma Olomouc – last 6
WWWDLW
23 Aug
vs Pardubice
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Slovácko
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Artis
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Mlada Boleslav
2–2
D
26 Jul
@ FK Jablonec
1–2
L
17 Jul
vs Al Sadd
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baník Ostrava and Sigma Olomouc.
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?
On our numbers Baník Ostrava have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sigma Olomouc 40%.
How many goals will there be in Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?
Our predicted score is Baník Ostrava 1–1 Sigma Olomouc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?
Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
