FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
FK Jablonec or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: FK Jablonec to win @ 1.93 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Jablonec to win ✓61% · @1.93
Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.99
FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava preview and prediction
The match
The Czech Liga sees FK Jablonec take on Baník Ostrava on Wednesday 9 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Strelnice. FK Jablonec are 7th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Baník Ostrava sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FK Jablonec's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Slovan Liberec 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Baník Ostrava's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Mlada Boleslav 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for FK Jablonec and 0.8 for Baník Ostrava. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Jablonec 61%, draw 23%, Baník Ostrava 16%.
Safer route: FK Jablonec or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.62.
Value angle: FK Jablonec to win at 1.93 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Jablonec or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Jablonec 1–0 Baník Ostrava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Jablonec61%fair 1.63 · @1.93
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Baník Ostrava16%fair 6.26 · @3.55
2.50Expected goals
1.75FK Jablonec xG
0.75Baník Ostrava xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: FK Jablonec 1.7 – 0.8 Baník Ostrava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Jablonec to win✓
61%
1.63
1.93 ▲
Double chance
FK Jablonec or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Half-time result
FK Jablonec ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Jablonec / FT FK Jablonec✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.99
–
Form
FK Jablonec – last 6
LDLWLW
6 Sep
vs Slovan Liberec
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Bohemians 1905
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Teplice
0–2
L
27 Aug
vs Rangers
1–0
W
20 Aug
@ Rangers
0–1
L
13 Aug
@ Rīgas FS
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Baník Ostrava – last 6
LWWWLL
6 Sep
@ Mlada Boleslav
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Sigma Olomouc
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ Sparta Brno
9–0
W
16 Aug
vs Artis
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Slavia Praha
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava.
What is the prediction for FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
Our pick is FK Jablonec or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
On our numbers FK Jablonec have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baník Ostrava 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
Our predicted score is FK Jablonec 1–0 Baník Ostrava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava (Czech Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Strelnice.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
