Value bet: FK Jablonec to win @ 2.90 – our chance 42% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Jablonec to win ✓42% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Pardubice vs FK Jablonec preview and prediction
The match
The Czech Liga sees Pardubice take on FK Jablonec on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Letni Stadion. Pardubice are 12th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while FK Jablonec sit 7th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Pardubice's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Hradec Králové 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FK Jablonec's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat NK Varazdin 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Jablonec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Pardubice 0–2 FK Jablonec.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Pardubice and 1.5 for FK Jablonec. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pardubice 34%, draw 24%, FK Jablonec 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Value angle: FK Jablonec to win at 2.90 – 42% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Pardubice 1–1 FK Jablonec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pardubice34%fair 2.93 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.25
FK Jablonec42%fair 2.38 · @2.90
2.80Expected goals
1.31Pardubice xG
1.49FK Jablonec xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Pardubice 1.3 – 1.5 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pardubice vs FK Jablonec?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pardubice vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Pardubice have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Jablonec 42%.
How many goals will there be in Pardubice vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pardubice vs FK Jablonec?
Our predicted score is Pardubice 1–1 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pardubice vs FK Jablonec?
Pardubice vs FK Jablonec (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Letni Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
