Value bet: Sparta Praha to win @ 1.66 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSparta Praha to win ✗66% · @1.66
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✗86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.57
Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha preview and prediction
The match
The Czech Liga sees Zbrojovka Brno take on Sparta Praha on Saturday 25 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska. Zbrojovka Brno are 10th with 20 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Sparta Praha sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Zbrojovka Brno's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Podbrezová 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sparta Praha's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to FC Nordsjaelland 1–5 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Zbrojovka Brno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Zbrojovka Brno and 2.1 for Sparta Praha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zbrojovka Brno 14%, draw 20%, Sparta Praha 66%.
Safer route: Sparta Praha or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Sparta Praha to win at 1.66 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Zbrojovka Brno 0–2 Sparta Praha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zbrojovka Brno14%fair 6.90 · @4.55
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.75
Sparta Praha66%fair 1.52 · @1.66
2.89Expected goals
0.84Zbrojovka Brno xG
2.05Sparta Praha xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Zbrojovka Brno 0.8 – 2.1 Sparta Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✗
66%
1.52
1.66 ▲
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
Zbrojovka Brno – last 6
WWLWWW
17 Jul
vs Podbrezová
2–0
W
15 Jul
@ Malženice
2–0
W
8 Jul
@ TSV Hartberg
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Csikszereda
2–1
W
1 Jul
@ Tiszakecske FC
4–2
W
30 Jun
@ Nyiregyhaza
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sparta Praha – last 6
LLWWWW
17 Jul
@ FC Nordsjaelland
1–5
L
16 Jul
@ Jagiellonia
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Gamba Osaka
3–0
W
4 Jul
vs Opava
4–1
W
24 May
vs Hradec Králové
2–1
W
17 May
@ Slovan Liberec
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zbrojovka Brno and Sparta Praha.
What is the prediction for Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha?
On our numbers Zbrojovka Brno have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sparta Praha 66%.
How many goals will there be in Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha?
Our predicted score is Zbrojovka Brno 0–2 Sparta Praha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha?
Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha (Czech Liga) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
