The FNL sees Třinec take on Karviná on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Rudolfa Labaje.
Form guide
Třinec's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Vlašim 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Karviná's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Kladno 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Karviná arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Třinec and 2.1 for Karviná. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Třinec 13%, draw 18%, Karviná 68%.
Safer route: Karviná or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Karviná to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Třinec 0–2 Karviná. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Třinec13%fair 7.51 · @4.80
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @3.75
Karviná68%fair 1.46 · @1.57
2.86Expected goals
0.78Třinec xG
2.08Karviná xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Třinec 0.8 – 2.1 Karviná expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná to win✗
68%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Karviná or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Karviná ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná / FT Karviná✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
Třinec – last 6
LLWDDW
4 Sep
@ Vlašim
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Baník Ostrava II
1–4
L
26 Aug
@ Bzenec
4–1
W
21 Aug
@ Opava
2–2
D
17 Aug
vs Ústí nad Labem
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Bospor Bohumín
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Karviná – last 6
WLDWWW
4 Sep
vs Kladno
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Příbram
1–2
L
26 Aug
@ Kozlovice
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Viktoria Žižkov
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Arsenal Česká Lípa
5–2
W
12 Aug
@ Brumov
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Třinec and Karviná.
Our pick is Karviná to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Třinec vs Karviná?
On our numbers Třinec have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Karviná 68%.
How many goals will there be in Třinec vs Karviná?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Třinec vs Karviná?
Our predicted score is Třinec 0–2 Karviná, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Třinec vs Karviná?
Třinec vs Karviná (FNL) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rudolfa Labaje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dukla Praha3
Vlašim1
Příbram1
Baník Ostrava II3
Táborsko3
Kladno3
Ústí nad Labem1
Vysočina Jihlava2