Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Karviná to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarviná to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Příbram vs Karviná preview and prediction
The match
Příbram host Karviná in the FNL on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at UMT Pribram.
Form guide
Příbram's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Baník Souš 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Karviná's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Kozlovice 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Karviná arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Příbram and 1.9 for Karviná. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Příbram 25%, draw 16%, Karviná 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Karviná to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Příbram 1–1 Karviná. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Příbram25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Draw16%fair 6.23 · @3.50
Karviná59%fair 1.71 · @1.95
3.06Expected goals
1.14Příbram xG
1.92Karviná xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Příbram 1.1 – 1.9 Karviná expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná to win✗
59%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.42
Half-time result
Karviná ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná / FT Karviná✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Příbram – last 6
DDDWWW
26 Aug
@ Baník Souš
1–1
D
21 Aug
@ Vlašim
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Prostějov
2–2
D
12 Aug
@ Strakonice
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Vysočina Jihlava
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Opava
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karviná – last 6
DWWWWW
26 Aug
@ Kozlovice
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Viktoria Žižkov
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Arsenal Česká Lípa
5–2
W
12 Aug
@ Brumov
4–0
W
7 Aug
@ Prostějov
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Vlašim
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Příbram and Karviná.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Příbram vs Karviná?
On our numbers Příbram have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Karviná 59%.
How many goals will there be in Příbram vs Karviná?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Příbram vs Karviná?
Our predicted score is Příbram 1–1 Karviná, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Příbram vs Karviná?
Příbram vs Karviná (FNL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at UMT Pribram.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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