Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ústí nad Labem to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultÚstí nad Labem to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.82
Třinec vs Ústí nad Labem preview and prediction
The match
Ústí nad Labem travel to Stadion Rudolfa Labaje in the FNL on Monday 17 August (17:00 WAT) to face Třinec.
Form guide
Třinec's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Bospor Bohumín 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ústí nad Labem's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Karlovy Vary 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Ústí nad Labem arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Třinec and 2.0 for Ústí nad Labem. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Třinec 20%, draw 19%, Ústí nad Labem 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Ústí nad Labem to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Třinec 1–1 Ústí nad Labem. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Třinec20%fair 5.07 · @3.30
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Ústí nad Labem61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
2.96Expected goals
1.00Třinec xG
1.96Ústí nad Labem xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Třinec 1.0 – 2.0 Ústí nad Labem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ústí nad Labem to win✗
61%
1.64
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Half-time result
Ústí nad Labem ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ústí nad Labem / FT Ústí nad Labem✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.82
–
Form
Třinec – last 6
WLDDDL
12 Aug
@ Bospor Bohumín
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Slavia Praha II
2–3
L
1 Aug
vs Vysočina Jihlava
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Prostějov
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Tychy 71
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Unie Hlubina
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ústí nad Labem – last 6
WDWWDL
12 Aug
@ Karlovy Vary
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Arsenal Česká Lípa
3–3
D
1 Aug
@ Hanácká
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Kladno
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Dukla Praha
2–2
D
11 Jul
@ FSV Zwickau
3–6
L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Třinec and Ústí nad Labem.
What is the prediction for Třinec vs Ústí nad Labem?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Třinec vs Ústí nad Labem?
On our numbers Třinec have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ústí nad Labem 61%.
How many goals will there be in Třinec vs Ústí nad Labem?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Třinec vs Ústí nad Labem?
Our predicted score is Třinec 1–1 Ústí nad Labem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Třinec vs Ústí nad Labem?
Třinec vs Ústí nad Labem (FNL) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rudolfa Labaje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.