Value bet: Karviná to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarviná to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceKarviná or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.70
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Karviná preview and prediction
The match
The FNL sees Arsenal Česká Lípa take on Karviná on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa.
Form guide
Arsenal Česká Lípa's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Baník Sokolov 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Karviná's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Brumov 4–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Karviná arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Arsenal Česká Lípa and 1.9 for Karviná. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Česká Lípa 18%, draw 20%, Karviná 62%.
Safer route: Karviná or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Karviná to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Arsenal Česká Lípa 0–2 Karviná. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Česká Lípa18%fair 5.56 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Karviná62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
2.81Expected goals
0.90Arsenal Česká Lípa xG
1.91Karviná xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Arsenal Česká Lípa 0.9 – 1.9 Karviná expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná to win✓
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Karviná or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.45
Half-time result
Karviná ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná / FT Karviná✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
Arsenal Česká Lípa – last 6
LDDLDL
12 Aug
@ Baník Sokolov
1–3
L
7 Aug
@ Ústí nad Labem
3–3
D
2 Aug
vs Slavia Praha II
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Dukla Praha
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Písek
2–2
D
13 Jun
vs Kladno
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Karviná – last 6
WWWLWW
12 Aug
@ Brumov
4–0
W
7 Aug
@ Prostějov
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs Vlašim
1–0
W
27 Jul
@ Opava
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–1
W
10 Jul
vs Považská Bystrica
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Česká Lípa and Karviná.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Karviná?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Karviná?
On our numbers Arsenal Česká Lípa have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karviná 62%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Karviná?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Karviná?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Česká Lípa 0–2 Karviná, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Karviná?
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Karviná (FNL) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.