Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.92 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarviná to win ✓62% · @1.64
Double chanceKarviná or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.57
Prostějov vs Karviná preview and prediction
The match
The FNL sees Prostějov take on Karviná on Friday 7 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim.
Form guide
Prostějov's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Viktoria Žižkov 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Karviná's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Vlašim 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Prostějov and 1.5 for Karviná. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 56% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.92 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.32. Predicted score: Prostějov 0–1 Karviná. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Prostějov18%fair 5.54 · @4.55
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.54
Karviná62%fair 1.62 · @1.64
2.13Expected goals
0.62Prostějov xG
1.51Karviná xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: Prostějov 0.6 – 1.5 Karviná expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná to win✓
62%
1.62
1.64
Double chance
Karviná or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.72
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.92 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná / FT Karviná✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.57
–
Form
Prostějov – last 6
LDWWWD
31 Jul
@ Viktoria Žižkov
0–1
L
24 Jul
vs Třinec
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Floridsdorfer AC
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Sigma Olomouc II
3–2
W
4 Jul
vs Sigma Olomouc
3–2
W
27 Jun
@ Opava
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karviná – last 6
WLWWWL
31 Jul
vs Vlašim
1–0
W
27 Jul
@ Opava
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–1
W
10 Jul
vs Považská Bystrica
2–0
W
7 Jul
vs Zemplín Michalovce
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Wisla Krakow
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Prostějov and Karviná.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Prostějov vs Karviná?
On our numbers Prostějov have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karviná 62%.
How many goals will there be in Prostějov vs Karviná?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prostějov vs Karviná?
Our predicted score is Prostějov 0–1 Karviná, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Prostějov vs Karviná?
Prostějov vs Karviná (FNL) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Za Mistnim nadrazim.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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