Value bet: Suchitepéquez to win @ 1.82 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuchitepéquez to win ✓59% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.04
Suchitepéquez vs Malacateco preview and prediction
The match
Suchitepéquez host Malacateco in the Liga Nacional on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Suchitepéquez's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Cobán Imperial 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Malacateco's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Aurora 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Malacateco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Malacateco 2–0 Suchitepéquez.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Suchitepéquez and 1.0 for Malacateco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Suchitepéquez to win at 1.82 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Suchitepéquez 1–1 Malacateco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Suchitepéquez59%fair 1.69 · @1.82
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.36
Malacateco21%fair 4.82 · @3.82
2.81Expected goals
1.84Suchitepéquez xG
0.97Malacateco xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Suchitepéquez 1.8 – 1.0 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Suchitepéquez vs Malacateco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Suchitepéquez vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Suchitepéquez have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Malacateco 21%.
How many goals will there be in Suchitepéquez vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suchitepéquez vs Malacateco?
Our predicted score is Suchitepéquez 1–1 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Suchitepéquez vs Malacateco?
Suchitepéquez vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
