Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
0–0
FT

Marquense vs Guastatoya prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Marquense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMarquense to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67

Marquense vs Guastatoya preview and prediction

The match

Guastatoya travel to Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada in the Liga Nacional on Friday 30 October (03:10 WAT) to face Marquense. Marquense are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Guastatoya sit 7th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Marquense's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Cobán Imperial 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Guastatoya's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Mixco 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Marquense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Guastatoya 1–2 Marquense. Across their last 2 meetings Marquense have won 1, Guastatoya 0, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Marquense and 0.6 for Guastatoya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Marquense to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marquense 1–0 Guastatoya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Marquense65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Guastatoya10%fair 10.06 · @5.50
2.53Expected goals
1.88Marquense xG
0.65Guastatoya xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Marquense 1.9 – 0.6 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarquense to win ✗65%1.541.60
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓90%1.111.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.941.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Half-time resultMarquense ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marquense / FT Marquense ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.67–

Form

Marquense – last 6

LWDDWW
25 Oct@ Cobán Imperial1–3L
19 Octvs Suchitepéquez2–1W
15 Octvs Mixco1–1D
12 Oct@ Municipal1–1D
3 Octvs Antigua GFC2–1W
27 Sepvs Malacateco1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Guastatoya – last 6

LDDLWW
25 Octvs Mixco1–3L
19 Oct@ Municipal1–1D
15 Octvs Antigua GFC1–1D
11 Oct@ Malacateco0–2L
5 Octvs Aurora2–1W
26 Sepvs Deportivo San Pedro2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Guastatoya v Marquense1–2
5 Mar 2026Marquense v Guastatoya2–2
Marquense vs Guastatoya head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Our pick is Marquense to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Marquense vs Guastatoya?

On our numbers Marquense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guastatoya 10%.

How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Guastatoya?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Marquense vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 03:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.