Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarquense to win ✗65% · @1.60
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Marquense vs Guastatoya preview and prediction
The match
Guastatoya travel to Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada in the Liga Nacional on Friday 30 October (03:10 WAT) to face Marquense. Marquense are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Guastatoya sit 7th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Marquense's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Cobán Imperial 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Guastatoya's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Mixco 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Marquense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Guastatoya 1–2 Marquense. Across their last 2 meetings Marquense have won 1, Guastatoya 0, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Marquense and 0.6 for Guastatoya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Marquense to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marquense 1–0 Guastatoya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marquense65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Guastatoya10%fair 10.06 · @5.50
2.53Expected goals
1.88Marquense xG
0.65Guastatoya xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.9 – 0.6 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Our pick is Marquense to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Marquense vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Marquense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guastatoya 10%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Marquense vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 03:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.