Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuastatoya to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceGuastatoya or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.31
Guastatoya vs Mixco preview and prediction
The match
Guastatoya host Mixco in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 03:10 (WAT). Guastatoya are 7th with 31 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Mixco sit 3rd on 36 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Guastatoya's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Municipal 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mixco's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Municipal 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Mixco 4–2 Guastatoya.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Guastatoya and 0.8 for Mixco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guastatoya 65%, draw 22%, Mixco 13%.
Safer route: Guastatoya or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guastatoya to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guastatoya 2–0 Mixco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guastatoya65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.20
Mixco13%fair 7.50 · @4.80
2.83Expected goals
2.02Guastatoya xG
0.81Mixco xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 2.0 – 0.8 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Guastatoya to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Mixco?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mixco 13%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 2–0 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Mixco?
Guastatoya vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 03:10 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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