Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
Value bet: Mixco to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Suchitepéquez 1.5 – 1.6 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Suchitepéquez and Mixco on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Suchitepéquez have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Mixco have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded. Mixco come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Suchitepéquez, 1.6 for Mixco). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Suchitepéquez have won 0, Mixco have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Mixco to win at 2.88 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mixco to win ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mixco / FT Mixco ✗ | 23% | 4.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 11.79 | – |
Form
Suchitepéquez – last 6
| 5 Oct | @ Comunicaciones | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | @ Municipal | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Xelajú | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ Antigua GFC | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Guastatoya | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Malacateco | 0–2 | L |
Mixco – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Antigua GFC | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | @ Malacateco | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Aurora | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Deportivo San Pedro | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Xelajú | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
| 1 Aug 2026 | Mixco v Suchitepéquez | 2–0 |
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
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Deportivo San Pedro2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?
On our numbers Suchitepéquez have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mixco 39%.
How many goals will there be in Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.