Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultXelajú to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Aurora vs Xelajú preview and prediction
The match
Xelajú travel to Estadio Guillermo Slowing in the Liga Nacional on Saturday 10 October (22:00 WAT) to face Aurora. Aurora are 11th with 20 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Xelajú sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aurora's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Guastatoya 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Xelajú's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Deportivo San Pedro 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Xelajú arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 August 2026, finished Xelajú 3–1 Aurora. Across their last 2 meetings Aurora have won 0, Xelajú 1, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Aurora and 1.7 for Xelajú. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aurora 34%, draw 22%, Xelajú 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aurora 1–1 Xelajú. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aurora34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Xelajú44%fair 2.30 · @2.45
3.17Expected goals
1.47Aurora xG
1.70Xelajú xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Aurora 1.5 – 1.7 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Aurora vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Aurora have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Xelajú 44%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Xelajú?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Xelajú?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Xelajú?
Aurora vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
