Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Value bet: Xelajú to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Suchitepéquez 1.5 – 1.5 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Suchitepéquez and Xelajú on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Suchitepéquez have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Xelajú have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Xelajú come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Suchitepéquez, 1.5 for Xelajú). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.85. For a bigger price, Xelajú to win at 2.90 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Xelajú to win ✗ | 38% | 2.63 | 2.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Xelajú / FT Xelajú ✗ | 22% | 4.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 11.88 | – |
Form
Suchitepéquez – last 6
| 15 Sep | @ Antigua GFC | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Guastatoya | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Malacateco | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Cobán Imperial | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Aurora | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs Marquense | 1–2 | L |
Xelajú – last 6
| 14 Sep | @ Guastatoya | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Cobán Imperial | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Marquense | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Mixco | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | vs Firpo | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Municipal | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Suchitepéquez and Xelajú.
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Suchitepéquez have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Xelajú 38%.
How many goals will there be in Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú?
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.