Liga Nacional · Guatemala

Malacateco vs Mixco prediction & analysis

64%

Footrivo pick

Malacateco to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMalacateco to win ✓64% · @1.73

Double chanceMalacateco or draw ✓88% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.59

Win chances

Malacateco64%fair 1.56 · @1.73

Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.30

Mixco12%fair 8.34 · @4.50

3.17Expected goals

2.23Malacateco xG

0.94Mixco xG

57%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%

2–110%

1–09%

1–19%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: Malacateco 2.2 – 0.9 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Malacateco are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Mixco.

Malacateco have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Mixco have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for Malacateco, 0.9 for Mixco). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Malacateco have won 0, Mixco have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Malacateco to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Malacateco to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.73 ▲
Double chance	Malacateco or draw ✓	88%	1.14	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.74	1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	82%	1.21	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	–
Half-time result	Malacateco ahead at half-time ✗	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Malacateco / FT Malacateco ✗	44%	2.29	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0 ✗	10%	9.59	–

Form

Malacateco – last 6

DLWLWL

14 Sep	@ Municipal	2–2	D
11 Sep	vs Antigua GFC	0–2	L
6 Sep	vs Suchitepéquez	2–0	W
31 Aug	@ Aurora	0–1	L
24 Aug	vs Deportivo San Pedro	2–0	W
16 Aug	@ Comunicaciones	2–4	L

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Mixco – last 6

WLDLWW

13 Sep	vs Aurora	3–2	W
9 Sep	@ Deportivo San Pedro	0–2	L
5 Sep	vs Comunicaciones	1–1	D
31 Aug	@ Xelajú	1–4	L
28 Aug	vs Alianza FC	2–0	W
23 Aug	vs Guastatoya	4–2	W

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026

Malacateco v Mixco

1–2

Liga Nacional table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Xelajú	22	11	6	5	+15	39
2	Municipal	22	11	5	6	+11	38
3	Mixco	22	10	6	6	+4	36
4	Comunicaciones	22	11	2	9	+2	35
5	Antigua GFC	22	9	7	6	+5	34
6	Cobán Imperial	22	8	8	6	+7	32
7	Guastatoya	22	8	7	7	+8	31
8	Marquense	22	9	3	10	-4	30
9	Mictlán	22	7	6	9	-11	27
10	Malacateco	22	6	4	12	-6	22
11	Aurora	22	4	8	10	-16	20
12	Achuapa	22	5	4	13	-15	19

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Suchitepéquez2

Xelajú2 138%2.25X24%3.00238%2.90 GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.85 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malacateco vs Mixco?

Our pick is Malacateco to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Malacateco vs Mixco?

On our numbers Malacateco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mixco 12%.

How many goals will there be in Malacateco vs Mixco?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Malacateco vs Mixco?

Malacateco vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Malacateco

Mixco