Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Marquense to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAurora to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Aurora vs Marquense preview and prediction
The match
Aurora host Marquense in the Liga Nacional on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing. Aurora are 11th with 20 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Marquense sit 8th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Aurora's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Mixco 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Marquense's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Deportivo San Pedro 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Marquense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 April 2026, finished Aurora 0–1 Marquense. Across their last 2 meetings Aurora have won 0, Marquense 1, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Aurora and 1.4 for Marquense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aurora 40%, draw 25%, Marquense 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Marquense to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aurora 1–1 Marquense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aurora40%fair 2.48 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Marquense34%fair 2.93 · @3.50
2.89Expected goals
1.51Aurora xG
1.38Marquense xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Aurora 1.5 – 1.4 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Aurora vs Marquense?
On our numbers Aurora have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Marquense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Marquense?
Aurora vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
